Aman Singhal

🏠 Bajaj Housing Finance Limited: A Rising Giant in Home Lending

📌 Overview

Bajaj Housing Finance Limited (BHFL), a wholly owned subsidiary of Bajaj Finance, is rapidly emerging as a strong contender in India’s housing finance space. Launched in 2015, it has demonstrated exceptional growth, combining a conservative risk approach with strong execution.

📈 Financial Performance Snapshot

Metric FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 (Q4 Annualized)
AUM (₹ Crore) 28,000 38,200 52,400 69,200 91,370 1,14,684
YoY Growth 36% 37% 32% 32% 26%
Net Interest Income (NII) ₹988 Cr ₹1,488 Cr ₹2,010 Cr ₹2,510 Cr ₹3,007 Cr
Net Profit ₹450 Cr* ₹625 Cr* ₹1,060 Cr ₹1,437 Cr ₹1,731 Cr ₹2,163 Cr
EPS (₹) ₹0.93 ₹1.58 ₹2.13 ₹2.58 ₹2.67
Net Interest Margin (NIM) ~3.7% 4.0% 4.1% 4.1% 4.0%
Gross NPA 0.30% 0.28% 0.29% 0.29% 0.29%
Net NPA 0.10% 0.11% 0.11% 0.11% 0.11%
Return on Equity (ROE) ~11% 12.5% 13.2% 14.2%

* FY2020/2021 Net Profit estimates based on backward calculation using reported CAGR.


🚀 Growth Track Record

AUM CAGR (FY2020–FY2024)

EPS CAGR (FY2021–FY2024)

This growth trajectory demonstrates both scalability and profitability.


🧱 Business Mix (as of FY2024)

Loan Category Share of AUM
Home Loans 58%
Loan Against Property (LAP) 10%
Lease Rental Discounting (LRD) 19%
Developer Finance (DF) 11%
Others 2%

🌍 Geographic Footprint


🔐 Risk Management and Asset Quality

One of the cleanest loan books in the industry, even better than many established banks and NBFCs.


⚙️ Operational Efficiency

Efficient operations and tech-driven processes have enabled the company to scale while reducing costs.


🧮 Valuation Scenario

Assume today’s EPS is ₹2.67 and the stock gets listed in the future. Let’s simulate 5-year forward pricing scenarios.

📊 Price Projection Table

Current Price: 117 Current PE: 45.2

Metric Worst Case Base Case Best Case
EPS Growth 15% 20% 25%
PE Multiple 20 30 40
EPS After 5 Years ₹5.21 ₹6.45 ₹7.91
Price After 5 Years ₹104.20 ₹193.50 ₹316.40
CAGR Returns -2.3% 10.6% 19.5%

to make 18-20% cagr returns it needs to be priced at ₹85, at current price we can expect 10-12% cagr returns in next 5 years.

📌 Note: The stock is not yet listed, and the above is hypothetical based on current business metrics.


📝 Summary

Bajaj Housing Finance Ltd. is a textbook example of controlled, profitable, and sustainable growth in a high-potential sector. With industry-beating asset quality, strong parentage, digital enablement, and growing market share, BHFL could be a major player in the next wave of Indian lending transformation.

💡 If the company lists independently, it could unlock significant shareholder value over the next 5–10 years.


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